Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.33
Draw
14%
4.34
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.4
No
53%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
70%
+5.0pp
14%
Draw
19%
-5.2pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
38%
+9.3pp
53%
BTTS No
62%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.15/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/3.02
-19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -28%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
491 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 76%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
19.2 Crosses 10.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Richards Bay
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.60 xG 0.62
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
594 Passes 219
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 HT 2-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
28.12.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
02.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
23.08.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
07.02.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-2 HT 1-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAF8K
06.01.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4-0
AWAY Richards Bay
1.41 xG 0.26
76% Ball Possession 24%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
653 Passes 134
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns ran out comfortable winners over Richards Bay 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 76% of the ball to Richards Bay's 24%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.41 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.33 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Richards Bay?

Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Cup on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 75%, draw 14%, Richards Bay 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ BTTS No
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