Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.8
Over
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.15
2-3
43%
1.81
4-5
21%
3.81
6+
9%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.15 — our 27% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.16
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
15%
4.15
X/2
9%
10.0
X/X
10%
4.81
2/1
9%
24.8
2/2
7%
8.34
2/X
6%
16.25
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova The Market 22%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.77/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.46
+18% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +149%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.2 Crosses 13.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 0.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
406 Passes 333
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
30.04.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
01.03.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
04.02.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova HAZ
14.09.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
15.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-1
AWAY CSKA Moskova
2.34 xG 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
483 Passes 306
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
45 Box Touches 13
36 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Zenit St. Petersburg and CSKA Moskova traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

File this under upsets: a 59% lean on Zenit St. Petersburg went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: possession split 61% to 39% in Zenit St. Petersburg's favour, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.34 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Zenit St. Petersburg against 0.67 for CSKA Moskova.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova Result & Final Score

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 59%, draw 21%, CSKA Moskova 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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