Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.59
Over
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.5
2-3
40%
1.82
4-5
21%
5.02
6+
10%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.21
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.85
X/1
12%
3.85
X/2
11%
10.2
X/X
16%
4.36
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
6%
9.46
2/X
8%
19.0
Value flag · 2/X at 19.0 — our 8% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.8pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova The Market 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.54/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-17% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +86%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.16 xG 0.88
59% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
455 Passes 303
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
04.02.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova HAZ
14.09.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
15.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
11.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
02.05.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0
AWAY CSKA Moskova
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg saw off CSKA Moskova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 46% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 54%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.67 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 CSKA Moskova in the Russia - Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 47%, draw 31%, CSKA Moskova 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5
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