Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 CSKA Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Feb 2025

📅04/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.93
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.44
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
14%
4.71
X/2 EV+
17%
8.07
X/X
9%
5.77
2/1
7%
20.75
2/2
9%
5.56
2/X
6%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CSKA Moskova
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.75 xG 0.99
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
524 Passes 252
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 0-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
15.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
11.05.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
02.05.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
03.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
15.07.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova Rusya - Süper Kupa
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-2
AWAY CSKA Moskova
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg and CSKA Moskova shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 55% of the ball to CSKA Moskova's 45%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.50 for CSKA Moskova.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 CSKA Moskova in the Friendlies on 04/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs CSKA Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 49%, draw 20%, CSKA Moskova 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HAZ More Friendlies
4 Feb 2025
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