Celtic 1-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Aug 2026

📅03/08/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
7.41
2-3 Goals
38%
2.25
4-5 Goals
32%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
4.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.25
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
29.5
X/1
19%
3.95
X/2
4%
31.5
X/X
8%
12.45
2/1
10%
21.05
2/2
5%
26.0
2/X
5%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-12.9pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.7pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.3pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.67/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.39
+17% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -3%
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
571 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 201 · 70%
43.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
28.8 Crosses 12.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.66 xG 0.84
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
593 Passes 158
88% Pass Accuracy 62%
39 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2026 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
07.02.2026 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
03.12.2025 Celtic Celtic 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
19.10.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
05.02.2025 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
14.01.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-3 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
1-0
AWAY Dundee FC
2.55 xG 0.47
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
563 Passes 248
34 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic squeezed past Dundee FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.55 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celtic's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Celtic and 1.17 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Dundee FC?

Celtic 1-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Celtic 69%, draw 18%, Dundee FC 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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