Dundee FC 1-2 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.59
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
20.1
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
6%
11.35
X/2
17%
4.17
X/X
10%
6.31
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
34%
1.88
2/X
4%
14.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.1 — our 10% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 66%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
0.85/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.01
+39% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 86%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.8
18.8 Crosses 22.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Celtic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.56 xG 2.82
24% Ball Possession 76%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
121 Passes 644
59% Pass Accuracy 90%
12 Box Touches 41
7 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2026 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
03.12.2025 Celtic Celtic 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
19.10.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
05.02.2025 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
14.01.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-3 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
30.10.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
1-2
AWAY Celtic
1.55 xG 3.82
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
307 Passes 460
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic edged past Dundee FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Dundee FC had 42% of the ball to Celtic's 58%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.55 to 3.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celtic's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundee FC and 2.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Celtic?

Dundee FC 1-2 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 19%, draw 21%, Celtic 60%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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