Livingston 2-2 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 5 Apr 2026

Livingston
2-2 HT 1-1
Hearts
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Livingston vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.34
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 32% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
10.1
1/2
8%
21.8
1/X
5%
18.5
X/1
6%
12.15
X/2
12%
3.91
X/X
15%
5.96
2/1
4%
34.0
2/2
37%
1.82
2/X
7%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
16%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.8pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 67%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
0.74/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.79
-26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +98%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
180 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 461 · 83%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
19.0 Crosses 24.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Livingston vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Hearts
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.70 xG 2.11
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
200 Passes 354
64% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.01.2026 Hearts Hearts 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
30.08.2025 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
13.04.2024 Hearts Hearts 4-2 HT 4-2 Livingston Livingston İKP
02.01.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
01.11.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
29.01.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP

Livingston 2-2 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
2-2
AWAY Hearts
2.00 xG 1.87
35% Ball Possession 65%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
211 Passes 480
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 41
21 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston and Hearts shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Hearts carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Livingston had 35% of the ball to Hearts's 65%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.00 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Livingston and 1.67 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Hearts?

Livingston 2-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Livingston 16%, draw 27%, Hearts 56%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
5 Apr 2026
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