Livingston 1-2 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 30 Aug 2025

Livingston
1-2 HT 1-0
Hearts
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Livingston vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.78
6+ Goals
10%
16.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.61
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
8%
7.35
X/2
19%
4.62
X/X
10%
4.46
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.73
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
47%
Away Win
46%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
1.22/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.30
-18% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 73%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.9 Crosses 21.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

Livingston vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hearts
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.03 xG 2.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
179 Passes 357
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Hearts Hearts 4-2 HT 4-2 Livingston Livingston İKP
02.01.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
01.11.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
29.01.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
12.11.2022 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
03.09.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP

Livingston 1-2 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-2
AWAY Hearts
0.50 xG 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
227 Passes 360
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 28
7 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts squeezed past Livingston 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Livingston had 40% of the ball to Hearts's 60%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.50 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Livingston and 1.33 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Hearts?

Livingston 1-2 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Livingston 26%, draw 27%, Hearts 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
30 Aug 2025
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