Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motherwell v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Motherwell 2-2 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell and Kilmarnock couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Motherwell at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Motherwell had 74% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 26%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.68 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Motherwell and 0.67 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
Motherwell 2-2 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 52%, draw 21%, Kilmarnock 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.