Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motherwell v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Motherwell
İKP
Motherwell 3-0 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell cruised past Kilmarnock 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Motherwell had 69% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 31%, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 2.57 to 0.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Motherwell and 0.83 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
Motherwell 3-0 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 46%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.