Hearts vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hearts v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Johnstone
İKP
0-2
HT 0-0
Hearts
İKP
Hearts 2-1 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts squeezed past St. Johnstone 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Hearts had 55% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 45%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hearts and 0.50 for St. Johnstone.
What was the final score of Hearts vs St. Johnstone?
Hearts 2-1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hearts vs St. Johnstone?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hearts 49%, draw 27%, St. Johnstone 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.