Aberdeen 1-5 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 14 May 2025

📅14/05/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.93
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.24
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 24% vs market 18.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.94
1/2
8%
22.45
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
9%
7.37
X/2
18%
5.1
X/X
13%
5.43
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
19%
2.8
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
45%
Away Win
45%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 49%
+10% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -24%
1.44/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.81
+8% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -44%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.2 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Celtic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.36 xG 2.42
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
210 Passes 629
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 40
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.02.2025 Celtic Celtic 5-1 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.12.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
02.11.2024 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
19.10.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-2 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
20.04.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-3 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKK
03.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-5
AWAY Celtic
1.07 xG 3.61
31% Ball Possession 69%
12 Total Shots 25
4 Shots on Target 14
6 Corners 6
246 Passes 671
78% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 47
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic ran out comfortable winners over Aberdeen 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 31% of the ball to Celtic's 69%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 1.07 to 3.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aberdeen and 3.00 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Aberdeen 1-5 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 14/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 28%, draw 27%, Celtic 45%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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