Asane II 5-4 Fana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.94
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.29
No
41%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
33%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.9pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+17.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-17.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
73%
-13.9pp
41%
BTTS No
27%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asane II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fana EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.36/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.63/2.76
-29% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asane II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Fana Fana 2-1 HT 1-0 Asane II Asane II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asane II
5-4
AWAY Fana
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asane II vs Fana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asane II squeezed past Fana 5-4. The game was level at 3-3 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Asane II had 42% of the ball to Fana's 58%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Asane II vs Fana?

Asane II 5-4 Fana in the Norway - 3rd Division on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asane II vs Fana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Asane II 26%, draw 29%, Fana 45%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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