03/09/2024
·
19:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Aalesund II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
22%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
18%
Draw
22%
43%
Away Win
38%
45%
Under 2.5
22%
55%
Over 2.5
78%
53%
BTTS Yes
76%
47%
BTTS No
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Funnefoss / Vormsund v Aalesund II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Funnefoss / Vormsund
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Aalesund II
EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% /
+22%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+46% /
+46%
2.17/1.80
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/0.00
+6%
/
+1%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-46%
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
11
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
6
363 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
294 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
5.0
Yellow Cards
0.0
POST-MATCH
Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Aalesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Funnefoss / Vormsund and Aalesund II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 18% / 43% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Aalesund II?
Funnefoss / Vormsund 1-1 Aalesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Aalesund II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Funnefoss / Vormsund 39%, draw 18%, Aalesund II 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aalesund II), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Aalesund II)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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