Lilleström II 0-3 Stabaek II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
23%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.94
Over 2.5
71%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.21
No
36%
4.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
21%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
26%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.5pp
23%
Away Win
30%
-6.6pp
29%
Under 2.5
22%
+6.9pp
71%
Over 2.5
78%
-6.9pp
64%
BTTS Yes
79%
-14.9pp
36%
BTTS No
21%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
2.54/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.55
+13% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Stabaek II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.05.2024 Stabaek II Stabaek II 3-4 HT 2-0 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
17.07.2023 Lilleström II Lilleström II 2-2 HT 0-1 Stabaek II Stabaek II NOR4
12.06.2023 Stabaek II Stabaek II 2-6 HT 1-1 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilleström II
0-3
AWAY Stabaek II
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lilleström II vs Stabaek II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek II swept aside Lilleström II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lilleström II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (71%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, Lilleström II had 44% of the ball to Stabaek II's 56%, shots finished 7-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lilleström II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Lilleström II and 2.33 for Stabaek II.

What was the final score of Lilleström II vs Stabaek II?

Lilleström II 0-3 Stabaek II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström II vs Stabaek II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lilleström II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lilleström II 49%, draw 28%, Stabaek II 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lilleström II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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