Vindbjart 3-2 Start II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
14%
7.78
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
4.67
Over 2.5
71%
1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
81%
-11.1pp
14%
Draw
10%
+3.6pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+7.5pp
29%
Under 2.5
18%
+11.5pp
71%
Over 2.5
82%
-11.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vindbjart EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Start II EU Bookmakers 11%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
3.04/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.02
-11% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
471 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vindbjart
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Start II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.06.2024 Start II Start II 0-1 HT 0-1 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
14.10.2023 Vindbjart Vindbjart 5-0 HT 1-0 Start II Start II NOR4
11.04.2023 Start II Start II 1-1 HT 1-0 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
23.10.2022 Start II Start II 0-0 HT 0-0 Vindbjart Vindbjart NOR4
26.04.2022 Vindbjart Vindbjart 1-1 HT 0-0 Start II Start II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vindbjart
3-2
AWAY Start II
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vindbjart vs Start II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vindbjart squeezed past Start II 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vindbjart as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vindbjart had 44% of the ball to Start II's 56%, shots finished 18-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vindbjart had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Vindbjart and 0.40 for Start II.

What was the final score of Vindbjart vs Start II?

Vindbjart 3-2 Start II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vindbjart vs Start II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vindbjart win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Vindbjart 70%, draw 14%, Start II 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vindbjart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vindbjart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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