Envigado 1-0 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 3 Sep 2025

Envigado
1-0 HT 1-0
Millonarios
📅03/09/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Colombia - Cup – 2025

Envigado vs Millonarios Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.7pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Millonarios — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.39/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.89
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
252 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Envigado vs Millonarios Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.58 xG 1.69
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
246 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.05.2025 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
29.09.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
17.03.2024 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
25.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
23.07.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado nicked a narrow win over Millonarios 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Envigado found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Envigado and 1.50 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Millonarios?

Envigado 1-0 Millonarios in the Colombia - Cup on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Envigado 34%, draw 31%, Millonarios 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Millonarios), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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