Millonarios 1-0 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.42
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.78
Over 2.5
37%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
67%
-17.3pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.2pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
52%
+11.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
48%
-11.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.24/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.34
-11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
20.6 Crosses 10.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Envigado
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.75 xG 0.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 Passes 254
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
17.03.2024 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
25.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
23.07.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
03.02.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-0
AWAY Envigado
1.70 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
241 Passes 208
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios edged past Envigado 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Millonarios had 52% of the ball to Envigado's 48%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.70 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Millonarios and 0.50 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Envigado?

Millonarios 1-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 49%, draw 28%, Envigado 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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