La Equidad 1-4 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 51%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
244 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
10.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.4 Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.33 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
283 Passes 249
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 La Equidad La Equidad 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
17.03.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 4-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
26.10.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
13.05.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
16.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
30.04.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-4
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.94 xG 1.70
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 1
255 Passes 407
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 12
5 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga ran out comfortable winners over La Equidad 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, La Equidad had 42% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 58%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.94 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for La Equidad and 1.83 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

La Equidad 1-4 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 26%, draw 28%, Atletico Bucaramanga 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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