Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Sep 2026

📅03/09/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 0.94
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
366 Passes 317
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2026 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3-1 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
19.10.2025 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
13.05.2025 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
21.12.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 2-0 HT 2-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
23.01.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İSPK
20.01.2024 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
PREVIEW Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

The model tilts towards Real Sociedad, but not by enough to write Celta Vigo off.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Real Sociedad's last 5 home league games, while over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Celta Vigo's last 5 away league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Real Sociedad against 1.00 for Celta Vigo.

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Kick-off Time

Real Sociedad play Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/09/2026, kick-off 22:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo is a Real Sociedad win at about 48% probability, priced 1.96 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Real Sociedad 48%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo 23%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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