Buchbach 3-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -19%
1.57/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.58
-8% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 1-3 HT 0-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
28.07.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Buchbach Buchbach 1-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
23.07.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 4-0 HT 3-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach swept aside Viktoria Aschaffenburg 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buchbach as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Aschaffenburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Buchbach and 2.00 for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Buchbach 3-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buchbach win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 42%, draw 25%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buchbach), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buchbach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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