Hankofen-Hailing 1-1 Würzburger Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.91
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
49%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.23
Over Pick
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
14%
+12.1pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.8pp
49%
Away Win
67%
-17.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hankofen-Hailing EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 71%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
2.19/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.88
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +31%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 31.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hankofen-Hailing
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2022 Hankofen-Hailing Hankofen-Hailing 1-5 HT 1-2 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
15.07.2022 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 1-1 HT 0-0 Hankofen-Hailing Hankofen-Hailing ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hankofen-Hailing vs Würzburger Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hankofen-Hailing and Würzburger Kickers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Würzburger Kickers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hankofen-Hailing and 3.00 for Würzburger Kickers.

What was the final score of Hankofen-Hailing vs Würzburger Kickers?

Hankofen-Hailing 1-1 Würzburger Kickers in the Germany - Regional League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hankofen-Hailing vs Würzburger Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Würzburger Kickers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hankofen-Hailing 26%, draw 25%, Würzburger Kickers 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Würzburger Kickers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Würzburger Kickers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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