CS Sfaxien 2-0 EGS Gafsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 Oct 2024

CS Sfaxien
2-0 HT 2-0
EGS Gafsa
📅03/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

CS Sfaxien vs EGS Gafsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
20%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.95
No
60%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.09
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
30%
+9.9pp
60%
BTTS No
70%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CS Sfaxien v EGS Gafsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CS Sfaxien EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 14%
-10% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.05/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-40% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -52%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH CS Sfaxien vs EGS Gafsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CS Sfaxien saw off EGS Gafsa 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CS Sfaxien as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of CS Sfaxien vs EGS Gafsa?

CS Sfaxien 2-0 EGS Gafsa in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CS Sfaxien vs EGS Gafsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a CS Sfaxien win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split CS Sfaxien 54%, draw 26%, EGS Gafsa 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CS Sfaxien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CS Sfaxien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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