Stade Tunisien 1-0 CA Bizertin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
5.72
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.1pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Bizertin EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -28%
1.12/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/1.33
-17% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Tunisien
3W-1D-2L
AWAY CA Bizertin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
73% Ball Possession 27%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.06.2024 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TNUSK
08.05.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN
19.03.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN
05.02.2023 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-2 HT 1-1 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
06.11.2022 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin TUN1A
04.03.2021 CA Bizertin CA Bizertin 1-0 HT 1-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
POST-MATCH Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien edged past CA Bizertin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stade Tunisien as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stade Tunisien had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Stade Tunisien and 0.50 for CA Bizertin.

What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin?

Stade Tunisien 1-0 CA Bizertin in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stade Tunisien win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 46%, draw 29%, CA Bizertin 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Tunisien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Tunisien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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