US Tataouine 1-2 Gabes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 Oct 2024

📅03/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.44
Over 2.5
44%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.04
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
6.53
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
66%
-9.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
34%
+9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Tataouine EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gabes EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH US Tataouine vs Gabes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gabes squeezed past US Tataouine 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was US Tataouine at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of US Tataouine vs Gabes?

US Tataouine 1-2 Gabes in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Tataouine vs Gabes?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Tataouine win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split US Tataouine 45%, draw 28%, Gabes 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (US Tataouine) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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