ES Metlaoui 1-1 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 3 Oct 2024

ES Metlaoui
1-1 HT 0-0
ES Tunis
📅03/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Tunisia - 1st Division – 2024/2025

ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.95
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
3.06
No
58%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
5.14
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
55%
Away Win
70%
-15.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
28%
+13.3pp
58%
BTTS No
72%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ES Metlaoui v ES Tunis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 75%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.67
+99% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +6%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 487 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5

ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
1W-0D-5L
AWAY ES Tunis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
12.11.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-2 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1B
02.09.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-2 HT 2-2 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
18.04.2022 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-2 HT 0-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
22.11.2021 ES Tunis ES Tunis 3-0 HT 2-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1A
19.05.2021 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-2 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
07.02.2021 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 1-2 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui and ES Tunis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. ES Tunis carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ES Metlaoui and 2.17 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?

ES Metlaoui 1-1 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 20%, draw 25%, ES Tunis 55%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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