Manchester United (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 3 Oct 2025

Manchester United (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Chelsea (K)
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2025/2026

Manchester United (K) vs Chelsea (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester United (K) v Chelsea (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +150%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.4
– Crosses 20.9
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Manchester United (K) vs Chelsea (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester United (K)
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.73 xG 2.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
264 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 36
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.04.2025 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
24.11.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
18.05.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-6 HT 0-4 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
21.01.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 3-1 HT 2-1 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL
17.11.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) İNKPL

Manchester United (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester United (K)
1-1
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.01 xG 2.86
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
410 Passes 384
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manchester United (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) and Chelsea (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Manchester United (K) had 51% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 49%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.01 to 2.86.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Manchester United (K) and 2.40 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Manchester United (K) 1-1 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 30%, draw 25%, Chelsea (K) 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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