Osasuna 2-1 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.36
Over
38%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
36%
1.8
2-3
44%
1.88
4-5
14%
7.53
6+
6%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.13
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.25
X/1
17%
4.26
X/2
12%
7.15
X/X
18%
3.16
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
12%
6.76
2/X
6%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-7.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+7.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe The Market 27%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.33/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.28
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
24.5 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Getafe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
291 Passes 234
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 Osasuna Osasuna 1-2 HT 1-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
05.10.2024 Getafe Getafe 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
21.01.2024 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 2-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
17.09.2023 Getafe Getafe 3-2 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
28.05.2023 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
18.09.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
2-1
AWAY Getafe
0.43 xG 0.86
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
316 Passes 226
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna nicked a narrow win over Getafe 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Osasuna as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna had 57% of the ball to Getafe's 43%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.43 to 0.86 — the balance of chances actually favoured Getafe.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osasuna and 2.00 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Getafe?

Osasuna 2-1 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 41%, draw 30%, Getafe 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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