Vitoria vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Ceara
BR2
0-2
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Ceara
BRCDN
2-0
HT 2-0
Vitoria
BRCDN
3-1
HT 0-0
Vitoria
BRCDN
Vitoria 1-0 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria nicked a narrow win over Ceara 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Vitoria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vitoria had 37% of the ball to Ceara's 63%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 2.12 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vitoria's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria and 1.00 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Vitoria vs Ceara?
Vitoria 1-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 38%, draw 30%, Ceara 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.