Flamengo 0-0 Cruzeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.89
6+ Goals
11%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.98
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
16.7
X/1
22%
3.83
X/2
6%
11.35
X/X
13%
5.01
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
7%
10.1
2/X
5%
19.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
61%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.1pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruzeiro EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.72/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.45
-4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.7 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flamengo
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cruzeiro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
413 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2025 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 2-1 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
07.11.2024 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-1 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
01.07.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
20.10.2023 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 0-2 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
28.05.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 1-1 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro BR1
21.09.2019 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 1-2 HT 1-1 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo
0-0
AWAY Cruzeiro
0.98 xG 1.02
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
470 Passes 261
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Flamengo vs Cruzeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo and Cruzeiro fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Flamengo at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Flamengo had 62% of the ball to Cruzeiro's 38%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.98 to 1.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Flamengo and 0.83 for Cruzeiro.

What was the final score of Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Flamengo 0-0 Cruzeiro in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Cruzeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 59%, draw 24%, Cruzeiro 17%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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