PKKU 1-0 EPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen Championship, 3 Oct 2025

PKKU
1-0 HT 1-0
EPS
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.74
Over 2.5
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.01
2-3 Goals
36%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.43
6+ Goals
15%
5.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.8pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+5.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
33%
+11.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
67%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.8pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PKKU EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY EPS EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PKKU
3W-2D-1L
AWAY EPS
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
23.08.2025 EPS EPS 4-3 HT 2-0 PKKU PKKU FİN3
14.06.2025 PKKU PKKU 4-1 HT 2-0 EPS EPS FİN3
22.09.2024 EPS EPS 4-5 HT 2-4 PKKU PKKU FINY
10.08.2024 PKKU PKKU 1-1 HT 1-1 EPS EPS FİN3
26.05.2024 EPS EPS 2-2 HT 1-0 PKKU PKKU FİN2
17.10.2020 EPS EPS 0-3 HT 0-2 PKKU PKKU FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PKKU
1-0
AWAY EPS
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH PKKU vs EPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PKKU squeezed past EPS 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 37% — and on the day PKKU made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PKKU had 40% of the ball to EPS's 60%, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PKKU had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PKKU and 2.00 for EPS.

What was the final score of PKKU vs EPS?

PKKU 1-0 EPS in the Finland - Ykkönen Championship on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PKKU vs EPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a PKKU win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PKKU 42%, draw 21%, EPS 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PKKU) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PKKU) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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