NAC Breda vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NAC Breda v Groningen — Team-Based Signals
NAC Breda vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Groningen
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
Groningen
HOL
5-2
HT 1-1
NAC Breda
HOL
NAC Breda 1-2 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics
Groningen squeezed past NAC Breda 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Groningen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (60%) came in.
On the day, NAC Breda had 61% of the ball to Groningen's 39%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.72 to 1.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Groningen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NAC Breda and 2.17 for Groningen.
What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Groningen?
NAC Breda 1-2 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Groningen?
Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 37%, draw 28%, Groningen 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NAC Breda) went the other way.