Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Comerciantes Unidos v UTC Cajamarca — Team-Based Signals
Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
UTC Cajamarca
PERKB
1-2
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
1-3
HT 1-1
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 UTC Cajamarca — Actual Match Statistics
Comerciantes Unidos squeezed past UTC Cajamarca 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Comerciantes Unidos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 31% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 69%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.85 to 1.34 — on chances, UTC Cajamarca could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Comerciantes Unidos and 1.50 for UTC Cajamarca.
What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca?
Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs UTC Cajamarca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 41%, draw 27%, UTC Cajamarca 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.