UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.34/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.35
+2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% / -48%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 75%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
22.8 Crosses 6.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.20 xG 1.77
49% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
219 Passes 253
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.08.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-1 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
08.03.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-3 HT 2-2 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
12.06.2021 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-1 HT 0-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PERKB
22.04.2018 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
04.03.2018 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-3 HT 1-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
18.09.2017 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2-0
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.03 xG 0.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
224 Passes 266
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca saw off Comerciantes Unidos 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had UTC Cajamarca as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 45% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 55%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.03 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.33 for Comerciantes Unidos.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?

UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 50%, draw 25%, Comerciantes Unidos 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTC Cajamarca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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