Sporting Cristal 2-1 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.4pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.7pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -2%
2.07/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.30
+22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.5 Crosses 15.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
2W-3D-1L
AWAY ADT
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.87 xG 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
304 Passes 197
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.07.2024 ADT ADT 3-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
27.01.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 6-2 HT 1-1 ADT ADT PER
06.08.2023 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
05.03.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
29.09.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-2 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
08.05.2022 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
2-1
AWAY ADT
0.94 xG 1.10
72% Ball Possession 28%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 4
554 Passes 174
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 16
45 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal edged past ADT 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 72% of the ball to ADT's 28%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.94 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sporting Cristal and 1.50 for ADT.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs ADT?

Sporting Cristal 2-1 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 56%, draw 24%, ADT 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
17 May 2025
23:00 UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos Analysis →