Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 3 Oct 2025

Olimpija Ljubljana
1-1 HT 1-1
Aluminij
📅03/10/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
16%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-5.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Olimpija Ljubljana v Aluminij — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.77/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.90
-18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Aluminij
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.07.2025 Aluminij Aluminij 0-3 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
20.04.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 5-0 HT 1-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
24.02.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 0-4 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
29.10.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN
19.08.2023 Aluminij Aluminij 4-5 HT 2-1 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
26.04.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 2-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVNK

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Aluminij — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpija Ljubljana
1-1
AWAY Aluminij
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana and Aluminij couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Olimpija Ljubljana carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Olimpija Ljubljana had 62% of the ball to Aluminij's 38%, shots finished 19-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 0.83 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

Olimpija Ljubljana 1-1 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Olimpija Ljubljana 60%, draw 21%, Aluminij 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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