Dalian Zhixing 2-1 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.81
No
56%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
35%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-13.6pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.4pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.0pp
56%
BTTS No
68%
-12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 11%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.25/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.17
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
21.7 Crosses 11.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.53 xG 0.63
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
290 Passes 181
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 19
30.06.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-0 HT 0-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
2-1
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
2.68 xG 0.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
222 Passes 251
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 9
29 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing edged past Shanghai Jiading 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 49% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 51%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.68 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dalian Zhixing's control.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Jiading?

Dalian Zhixing 2-1 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 59%, draw 26%, Shanghai Jiading 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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