Yanbian Longding 0-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.34
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.17
6+ Goals
8%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 31% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
70%
-16.2pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.52/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.43
+7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 68%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
19.2 Crosses 11.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 254
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
30.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
04.05.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 3-2 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
10.10.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
13.09.2023 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 1-1 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
18.06.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 1-1 HT 0-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
0-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.13 xG 0.24
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
376 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi edged past Yanbian Longding 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Yanbian Longding at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 59% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 41%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.13 to 0.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured Yanbian Longding.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yanbian Longding had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yanbian Longding and 1.17 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi?

Yanbian Longding 0-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 54%, draw 25%, Foshan Nanshi 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yanbian Longding) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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