Nanjing City vs Guangzhou Evergrande Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nanjing City v Guangzhou Evergrande — Team-Based Signals
Nanjing City vs Guangzhou Evergrande Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Nanjing City
ÇİN2
3-2
HT 2-1
Guangzhou Evergrande
ÇİN2
Nanjing City 2-1 Guangzhou Evergrande — Actual Match Statistics
Nanjing City nicked a narrow win over Guangzhou Evergrande 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Guangzhou Evergrande at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Nanjing City had 44% of the ball to Guangzhou Evergrande's 56%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.44 to 0.80.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nanjing City had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nanjing City and 1.33 for Guangzhou Evergrande.
What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Guangzhou Evergrande?
Nanjing City 2-1 Guangzhou Evergrande in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Guangzhou Evergrande?
Before kick-off our model rated an Guangzhou Evergrande win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 27%, draw 30%, Guangzhou Evergrande 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.