Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.33
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.10/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/1.32
+16% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.8
22.6 Crosses 9.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 0.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
349 Passes 284
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 5
27 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2024 Guangxi Baoyun Guangxi Baoyun 1-1 HT 1-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-1
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
1.55 xG 0.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
24 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
330 Passes 479
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
46 Box Touches 5
33 Crosses 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long and Guangxi Baoyun shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chongqing Tongliang Long at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chongqing Tongliang Long had 43% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 57%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 1.55 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 52%, draw 24%, Guangxi Baoyun 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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