Deportiva Minera 1-3 Almeria II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportiva Minera EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria II EU Bookmakers 32%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.26/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.67
+4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +67%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportiva Minera
1-3
AWAY Almeria II
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportiva Minera vs Almeria II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II saw off Deportiva Minera 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportiva Minera at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportiva Minera had 62% of the ball to Almeria II's 38%, shots finished 23-12.

What was the final score of Deportiva Minera vs Almeria II?

Deportiva Minera 1-3 Almeria II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportiva Minera vs Almeria II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportiva Minera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportiva Minera 42%, draw 31%, Almeria II 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportiva Minera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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