Deportivo Alaves II 0-3 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
39%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.18/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0-3
AWAY SD Logrones
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones swept aside Deportivo Alaves II 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; SD Logrones found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 51% of the ball to SD Logrones's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs SD Logrones?

Deportivo Alaves II 0-3 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 34%, draw 27%, SD Logrones 39%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SD Logrones), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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