Europa 0-3 Lleida Esportiu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 34%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
2.01/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.97
+66% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Europa
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 Europa Europa 3-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
06.02.2022 Europa Europa 0-1 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
19.09.2021 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 0-2 HT 0-1 Europa Europa İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Europa
0-3
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Europa vs Lleida Esportiu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lleida Esportiu cruised past Europa 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Europa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Europa had 48% of the ball to Lleida Esportiu's 52%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Europa had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Europa and 0.33 for Lleida Esportiu.

What was the final score of Europa vs Lleida Esportiu?

Europa 0-3 Lleida Esportiu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Lleida Esportiu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Europa 41%, draw 29%, Lleida Esportiu 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Europa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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