Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-2 Salamanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Salamanca EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.92/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.28
-24% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
1-2
AWAY Salamanca
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Salamanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salamanca edged past Gimnastica Torrelavega 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Salamanca found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastica Torrelavega had 55% of the ball to Salamanca's 45%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Salamanca?

Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-2 Salamanca in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Salamanca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Torrelavega win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Torrelavega 36%, draw 28%, Salamanca 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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