Pena Deportiva 0-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pena Deportiva EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ibiza Islas Pitiusas EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.51/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.98
+25% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pena Deportiva
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.03.2023 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 0-3 HT 0-1 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
30.10.2022 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 2-1 HT 0-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas İS4
20.03.2022 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1-3 HT 1-0 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva İS4
31.10.2021 Pena Deportiva Pena Deportiva 0-0 HT 0-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas Ibiza Islas Pitiusas İS4
POST-MATCH Pena Deportiva vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pena Deportiva and Ibiza Islas Pitiusas played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Pena Deportiva at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pena Deportiva had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pena Deportiva and 0.50 for Ibiza Islas Pitiusas.

What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?

Pena Deportiva 0-0 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Ibiza Islas Pitiusas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pena Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 43%, draw 28%, Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pena Deportiva) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pena Deportiva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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