Real Valladolid II 1-0 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.43/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.19
+11% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Valladolid II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bergantinos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.02.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 2-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
02.10.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Valladolid II
1-0
AWAY Bergantinos
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Valladolid II vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Valladolid II squeezed past Bergantinos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Valladolid II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Real Valladolid II had 48% of the ball to Bergantinos's 52%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Valladolid II and 0.00 for Bergantinos.

What was the final score of Real Valladolid II vs Bergantinos?

Real Valladolid II 1-0 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Valladolid II vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Valladolid II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Valladolid II 47%, draw 26%, Bergantinos 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Valladolid II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Valladolid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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