Inter 1-0 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.89
2-3 Goals
36%
2.18
4-5 Goals
27%
2.47
6+ Goals
17%
4.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
28.5
X/1
26%
3.55
X/2
5%
28.5
X/X
8%
10.75
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
5%
20.6
2/X
6%
27.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
79%
-13.8pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.3pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+6.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.24/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.88
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
26.4 Crosses 12.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Venezia
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.88 xG 0.21
63% Ball Possession 37%
26 Total Shots 4
12 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
548 Passes 292
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
48 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.01.2022 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
27.11.2021 Venezia Venezia 0-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
27.01.2002 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
16.09.2001 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
1-0
AWAY Venezia
2.38 xG 1.07
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
418 Passes 299
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter nicked a narrow win over Venezia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter had 57% of the ball to Venezia's 43%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.38 to 1.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Inter and 0.75 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Inter vs Venezia?

Inter 1-0 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Inter 65%, draw 21%, Venezia 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
3 Nov 2024
14:30 Napoli vs Atalanta Analysis →
17:00 Torino vs Fiorentina Analysis →
20:00 Hellas Verona vs Roma Analysis →