Torino 0-1 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 31% vs market 30.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.47
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
9%
7.07
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
4.6
X/X
12%
3.96
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.96
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · X/2 at 4.6 — our 23% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.8pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.13/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.14
-6% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.8 Crosses 18.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.97 xG 0.94
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
276 Passes 367
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
29.12.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
21.05.2023 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
01.02.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTK
21.01.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
10.01.2022 Torino Torino 4-0 HT 3-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
0-1
AWAY Fiorentina
0.58 xG 0.60
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
434 Passes 378
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 8
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Torino vs Fiorentina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina nicked a narrow win over Torino 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Torino had 53% of the ball to Fiorentina's 47%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.58 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Torino and 0.67 for Fiorentina.

What was the final score of Torino vs Fiorentina?

Torino 0-1 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torino vs Fiorentina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torino 32%, draw 24%, Fiorentina 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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