Hellas Verona vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hellas Verona v Roma — Team-Based Signals
Hellas Verona vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Roma
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-3
HT 1-1
Roma
İTA
2-2
HT 0-2
Hellas Verona
İTA
3-2
HT 0-1
Roma
İTA
Hellas Verona 3-2 Roma — Actual Match Statistics
Hellas Verona squeezed past Roma 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Roma at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Hellas Verona had 34% of the ball to Roma's 66%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.12 to 1.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Roma.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hellas Verona and 1.83 for Roma.
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Roma?
Hellas Verona 3-2 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Roma?
Before kick-off our model rated an Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 28%, draw 26%, Roma 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.