Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napoli v Atalanta — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Atalanta Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Napoli
İTA
2-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
1-2
HT 1-2
Napoli
İTA
1-3
HT 0-2
Napoli
İTA
2-3
HT 1-1
Atalanta
İTA
Napoli 0-3 Atalanta — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta swept aside Napoli 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match lean was Napoli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Napoli had 50% of the ball to Atalanta's 50%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.77 to 1.19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Napoli and 1.50 for Atalanta.
What was the final score of Napoli vs Atalanta?
Napoli 0-3 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napoli vs Atalanta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Napoli 42%, draw 25%, Atalanta 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.